SCENARIOS AND MODELS OF BIODIVERSITY AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES

›9:00 (15min)

Welcome and Opening
Paul Leadley

› Auditorium Pasteur

9:00 - 9:15 (15min)

Welcome and Opening

Auditorium Pasteur

Paul Leadley

›9:15 (15min)

Welcome from the FRB and overview of FRB activities
Jean-Francois Silvain

› Auditorium Pasteur

9:15 - 9:30 (15min)

Welcome from the FRB and overview of FRB activities

Auditorium Pasteur

Jean-Francois Silvain

›9:30 (30min)

IPBES Scenarios & Model assessment - setting the scene
Simon Ferrier

› Auditorium Pasteur

9:30 - 10:00 (30min)

IPBES Scenarios & Model assessment - setting the scene

Auditorium Pasteur

Simon Ferrier

›10:00 (30min)

Models and scenarios & the biodiversity MEAs
David Cooper

› Auditorium Pasteur

10:00 - 10:30 (30min)

Models and scenarios & the biodiversity MEAs

Auditorium Pasteur

David Cooper

›10:30 (30min)

Coffee break

› Foyer Pasteur

10:30 - 11:00 (30min)

Coffee break

Foyer Pasteur

›11:00 (20min)

Belmont Forum (BF) - ScenNet project
Paul Leadley

› Auditorium Pasteur

11:00 - 11:20 (20min)

Belmont Forum (BF) - ScenNet project

Auditorium Pasteur

Paul Leadley

›11:20 (20min)

BF - SEAVIEW project
Luc Doyen

› Auditorium Pasteur

11:20 - 11:40 (20min)

BF - SEAVIEW project

Auditorium Pasteur

Luc Doyen

›11:40 (20min)

BF - TSUNAGARI project
S. Ishikawa

› Auditorium Pasteur

11:40 - 12:00 (20min)

BF - TSUNAGARI project

Auditorium Pasteur

S. Ishikawa

›12:00 (20min)

BF - IHDBS project
Jacques Gignoux

› Auditorium Pasteur

12:00 - 12:20 (20min)

BF - IHDBS project

Auditorium Pasteur

Jacques Gignoux

›12:20 (10min)

Housekeeping and Organisational Announcements
Cornelia Krug

› Auditorium Pasteur

12:20 - 12:30 (10min)

Housekeeping and Organisational Announcements

Auditorium Pasteur

Cornelia Krug

›12:30 (2h)

Lunch

12:30 - 14:30 (2h)

Lunch

›14:30 (1h30)

Decision support for policy and management

› Sully 1

14:30 - 16:00 (1h30)

Decision support for policy and management

Sully 1

› Conceptual framework and first practical tests for a cumulative effects assessment with regard to the Marine Strategy Framework Directive - Silke Eilers, AquaEcology, Planktology, Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment, University of Oldenburg 14:30-14:45 (15min)

› From Scenarios over Models to Management --- Alien Spread Management: A Case Study from the Western Cape, South Africa - Rainer KRUG, Centre for Invasion Biology, Stellenbosch University 14:45-15:00 (15min)

› Scenario-based modelling for management of Mediterranean forests: a review. - Alejandra Morán-Ordóñez, Inforest Joint Research Unit (CSIC-CTFC-CREAF) 15:00-15:15 (15min)

› Using Suitable Tool and Method for Impact on Decision Making: Applying the Toolkit for Ecosystem Service Site-based Assessment (TESSA) enhanced community forest management in Cameroon - Patrick A. Mbosso, Environmental Resources Management and Social Issue Centre, University of Yaoundé1 15:15-15:30 (15min)

› Using land use change scenarios to inform the monitoring of species' conservation statuses - Stephanie Januchowski-Hartley, Laboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique, UMR 5174 15:30-15:45 (15min)

›14:30 (1h30)

Scenarios of direct and indirect drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem services

› Sully 2

14:30 - 16:00 (1h30)

Scenarios of direct and indirect drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem services

Sully 2

› Assessing the impacts of land use change on China's biodiversity - Cao MingChang, Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection 14:30-14:45 (15min)

› Downscaling simulations of future climate in Poyang lake basin of China - Zhao Na, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences 14:45-15:00 (15min)

› Integration of climate and land use scenarios in ecosystem service assessment - Sathaporn Monprapussorn, Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Sciences, Srinakharinwirot University 15:00-15:15 (15min)

› Biodiversity scenarios neglect future land use changes - Nicolas Titeux, Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals, Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia 15:15-15:30 (15min)

› Drivers of urban plant communities found at the base of alignment trees - Mona OMAR, Centre d'écologie et de sciences de la conservation 15:30-15:45 (15min)

›14:30 (1h30)

Modelling biodiversity and ecosystem function

› Sully 3

14:30 - 16:00 (1h30)

Modelling biodiversity and ecosystem function

Sully 3

› Integrating ecological models to secure the future of biodiversity across flammable continents - Luke Kelly, University of Melbourne, ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions 14:30-14:45 (15min)

› Incorporating ecological processes into biodiversity models alters the projected effectiveness of alternative management response options - Karel Mokany, CSIRO 14:45-15:00 (15min)

› Pattern vs process: comparing estimates of land-use impacts from the PREDICTS and Madingley models of biodiversity - Samantha Hill, Natural History Museum, UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Centre 15:00-15:15 (15min)

› Modelling community changes due to nutrient addition in a global network of grassland experiments - Dorothee Hodapp, ICBM, Carl-von-Ossietzky University Oldenburg 15:15-15:30 (15min)

› Estimating movement potential with individual-based models to estimate conservation action efficiency - Sarah Bauduin, Université Laval, Faculté de foresterie, de géographie et de géomatique 15:30-15:45 (15min)

›16:00 (30min)

Coffee break

› Foyer Pasteur

16:00 - 16:30 (30min)

Coffee break

Foyer Pasteur

›16:30 (1h30)

Contributions to assessments

› Sully 1

16:30 - 18:00 (1h30)

Contributions to assessments

Sully 1

› The fate of tropical forests associated to the demographic explosion in Africa. - Ghislain Vieilledent, CIRAD, UPR BSEF, European Commission, Joint Research Center 16:30-16:45 (15min)

› Spatial Modelling and Scenario Analysis to Monitor Aboveground Forest Biomass in Cambodia Using High Resolution SAR Data - Ram Avtar, United Nations University Institute for the Advanced study of Sustainability 16:45-17:00 (15min)

› MODEING LAND USE SCENARIOS AND CONSEQUENCES ON WATERSHED SERVICES AT THE THADEE WATERSHED, THAILAND - Yongyut Trisurat, Faculty of Forestry, Kasetsart University 17:00-17:15 (15min)

› Highlighting global management priorities for deep-sea diversity - Skipton Woolley, University of Melbourne 17:15-17:30 (15min)

›16:30 (1h30)

Participatory and place-based scenario development and applications

› Sully 2

16:30 - 18:00 (1h30)

Participatory and place-based scenario development and applications

Sully 2

› Modelling of ecosystem services to inform spatial planning in lands surrounding the Sarvelat and Javaherdasht protected area in Northern Iran - ardavan zarandian, Research Center for Environment and Sustainable Development , Department of Environment 16:30-16:45 (15min)

› A tale of two villages: Coupling social and ecological drivers to explore alternative futures for the forests of the Congo Basin. - Claude Garcia, Forest Management and Development, CIRAD UR Forêts et Sociétés 16:45-17:00 (15min)

› Future socio-ecological systems and human well-being in Japan: questionnaire surveys for participatory scenarios - Chiho Kamiyama, United Nations University 17:00-17:15 (15min)

› Offsetting the effects of mining in Central Africa : could social compensation be the key ? - Juliette Chamagne, Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement 17:15-17:30 (15min)

›16:30 (1h30)

Modelling links between biodiversity and ecosystem function

› Sully 3

16:30 - 18:00 (1h30)

Modelling links between biodiversity and ecosystem function

Sully 3

› Linking biodiversity and ecosystem functioning by functional traits – a case study on frugivorous birds and woody plants - Katja Schiffers, Senckenberg - Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre 16:30-16:45 (15min)

› Moving from biodiversity to functional diversity (also at large spatial scales) - Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Goethe-University Frankfurt am Main 16:45-17:00 (15min)

› Land-use impacts on species, functional and phylogenetic diversity of bee communities in Europe - Adriana De Palma, Natural History Museum, Imperial College London 17:00-17:15 (15min)

› Modelling plant trait diversity in tropical forests - Kirsten Thonicke, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research e.V. 17:15-17:30 (15min)